Showing posts with label money spent on Chichester property. Show all posts
Showing posts with label money spent on Chichester property. Show all posts

Thursday, 23 May 2024

Should you buy a developer’s show home?


With all the new housing developments springing up around Chichester recently, and with many more planned in the future, an interesting investment opportunity was raised by one of my landlords a while ago - should he buy the developer’s show home and rent it back to them whilst the housing development is being built?

This is not a new practice and has been a popular investment with some for many years - particularly when house prices were booming and it was a reasonably safe bet that come the end of the development the show home would be worth far in excess of what the investor had originally paid.

It can be difficult to get a mortgage on a property that you buy and intend to rent back to the builder (particularly when it is a corporate lease that might run for several years). This therefore means you cannot leverage your funds and thus it tends to appeal to more risk averse ‘cash-rich’ investors who aren’t seeking mortgages to turbo-charge their returns.

The concept of being able to lease back the property from day one on a long-term contract at a reasonably generous fixed return, is quite appealing. Particularly when you factor in that you won’t need to market for, or manage, live-in tenants and the builder will maintain the property.

It’s not without its downsides though.

Besides checking the developer’s credit worthiness to pay the rent, you need to be confident of what the property is actually worth. This can be difficult when it is the first home to be built on what will be a building site for often many years. New-build properties are normally sold at a premium, so it can be hard to find comparables that justify the price, as existing homes nearby are likely to be cheaper in comparison.

There seems to be a flurry of developers right now who are overpricing such offerings and simply paying the rental return from the overinflated price. This is predominantly happening in the North and North-East of England, where developers are largely marketing the properties to ‘Southerners’ who aren’t perhaps familiar with the local housing market and their accompanying lower house prices.

Unfortunately, at the end of the term the investor is likely to find the achievable market rent is far below what they had been used to and the property hasn’t necessarily increased (or retained) the value they originally paid.

As ever it is buyer beware in regards to how good the ‘deal’ actually is. It is also ‘horses for courses’ in regards to what you are trying to achieve as to whether buying a developer’s show home is right for you.

As it happens, for this particular landlord it seemed to make sense. It was a national housebuilder and the property price and rental return seemed reasonable. The landlord was a cash investor and for the next few years he needn’t worry about tenants or property maintenance and he won’t have to pay a letting agent their management fees! ……oh.


This article was featured in...









Thursday, 9 May 2024

£585m spent on property in Chichester in 2023

…£585,653,350 to be precise.

That was the huge amount of money spent on property in Chichester in 2023, according to recently released Land Registry data. That figure is, however, a whopping 29% lower than the total spent in 2022 (£820m).

Interestingly, that decrease was primarily down to the 23% decline in the number of transactions, although the average property also sold for 4% less in 2023 (£447,465) than in 2022 (£466,171). The number of transactions has now been declining each year since 2014 (with the sole exception of 2021).                                                                                                                           Last year I predicted that a decline in prices towards the end of 2022 would continue into 2023 (correct), although the data suggested there would be little change in the number of transactions (incorrect), which would lead to an overall decrease in the total spend in 2023 (correct).                                                                                                                                                              When you consider that an average of 2,525 properties were sold in Chichester each year between 2000-2007 (the last ‘boom’ phase for property), it did not seem unrealistic to expect the number of property purchases to remain steady at 2022’s relatively low 1,758. Instead, 2023 marked the lowest number of property sales in Chichester this millennium, with just 1,309 changing ownership!

This market slowdown has directly correlated with the sudden increase in interest rates. It seems the health of the market, both in terms of price and volume, rests largely on the action taken in this regard. The economists’ consensus had been for interest rate drops to have started by now, then pushing this prediction back to June and now being unsure whether it will happen even then. They also believe the drops will be more gradual than previously thought, which is why mortgage rates have again risen a little in recent weeks.

There is also the political uncertainty of a pending General Election adding to peoples’ reservations of buying right now. You may also have noticed there are quite a few new homes being built around Chichester too, for which we are already seeing developers having to reduce prices to sell and/or slowing down their build rates.

That is why I believe Chichester’s property market in 2024 already looks set to come in lower in terms of both price and volume than last year, resulting in another (albeit probably less steep) decline in the total amount spent on property overall.

To keep on top of the latest happenings in Chichester’s property market, you can sign up to the free weekly Chichester Property News e-mail at www.bit.ly/ChiPropertyNews

This article was featured in...





If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional and communicative in Chichester, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

E-mail me on clive@crjlettings.co.uk or call 01243 624 599.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view my previous buy-to-let deals and Chichester Property News articles:

c/o CRJ Lettings, 30B Southgate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 1DP



Chichester rental valuation

Thursday, 27 April 2023

£820m spent on property in Chichester in 2022

…£819,528,482 to be precise.

That was the huge amount of money spent on property in Chichester in 2022, according to recently released Land Registry data. That figure is, however, 12% lower than the total spent in 2021 (£936m).

Interestingly, that decrease was entirely down to the 23% decline in the number of transactions, as the average property actually sold for 13% more in 2022 (£466,171) than in 2021 (£411,599). That pattern is something of a return to normal, as property prices have risen year-on-year for a while now, whereas the number of transactions had been declining each year since 2014 (with the sole exception of 2021).                                                                                                                                                                                      Last year I predicted that a lack of stock on the market would equate to higher prices (correct), whilst pent up demand and more new-build homes being built in the area would also mean an increase in the volume of sales (incorrect). 

When you consider that an average of 2,525 properties were sold in Chichester each year between 2000-2007 (the last ‘boom’ phase for property), it did not seem unrealistic to expect the number of property purchases to increase from the 2,274 sold in 2021. Had I looked a little closer though, I would have noticed that 1,522 properties were sold in the first half of 2021, before the market sharply slowed down in the second half, with just 752 being sold i.e. a market slowdown had seemingly already begun.

Then there was the shock of interest rates being increased seemingly month after month from their record low, which put paid to a lot of people’s intentions (and affordability) of buying a property. That seems to be the number one reason why now the consensus in the media is for a market slowdown - both in terms of property prices and number of transactions. 


If I look at the data for 2022 though, the number of sales was relatively consistent throughout the year (863 in the first half and 895 in the second half), whereas the average price started to decline towards the end of the year. If that trend was to continue, we might expect relatively little change in the number of sales in Chichester, whilst the average price does indeed look set to decrease. That would mean the total amount of money set to be spent on property in Chichester in 2023 will be lower than last year and that 2021 might in fact have been the peak of the market in this respect (for now at least).

To find out and to keep on top of the latest happenings in Chichester’s property market, sign up to the free weekly Chichester Property News e-mail at www.bit.ly/ChiPropertyNews

This article was featured in...





If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional and communicative in Chichester, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

E-mail me on clive@crjlettings.co.uk or call 01243 624 599.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view my previous buy-to-let deals and Chichester Property News articles:

c/o CRJ Lettings, 30B Southgate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 1DP



Chichester rental valuation

Thursday, 12 May 2022

£936m spent on property in Chichester in 2021


…£935,975,501 to be precise.

That was the huge amount of money spent on property in Chichester in 2021, according to recently released Land Registry data. That is a massive 39% increase compared to 2020 (which itself had risen slightly on 2019 i.e. the year before the coronavirus pandemic began).

Interestingly, the large increase came from both a rise in property prices and an increase in the number of transactions. Whereas property prices have risen year-on-year for a while now, it is a reversal in fortunes when it comes to the number of sales, having previously seen six years of declining property transactions in Chichester. 

Do you remember when people were pulling out of purchases early on in the pandemic, as the media suggested house prices were set to crash? Well, those people really missed out, with property prices in Chichester ending 2021 up by 15% (on top of the 7% increase in 2020). The average price paid throughout the year also sits at a new record high (£416,415, which was an increase of 5% on the 2020 average).

One year ago, I estimated the number of transactions would rise in 2021, bucking the trend since 2014. Whilst I was correct, I’m amazed to see the figure has jumped by a more than a third compared to the 1,697 properties sold in 2020, with 2,274 properties changing hands in Chichester in 2021. That figure is very close to the 2014 level, after which the number of transactions started to fall year-on-year (2,376 properties were sold in Chichester in 2014).


If you think we’re at the peak now though, perhaps think again. Consider all the new-build properties being built in the area, alongside the fact that an average of 2,525 properties were sold in Chichester each year between 2000-2007 (the last ‘boom’ phase for property). It therefore seems clear to me that we are still below the number of transactions you would expect from an overly-frothy property market in Chichester that is about to burst.

Furthermore, there are currently 693 properties on the market in Chichester, with 385 showing as sold (subject to contract). This time last year there were 757 properties on the market, with 367 having been sold. This suggests there is a lack of stock on the market but with an ever-growing demand…which typically leads to higher prices and more sales! Could the buyers of property in Chichester be set to spend over £1 billion this year for the first time?

To find out and to keep on top of the latest happenings in Chichester’s property market, sign up to the free weekly Chichester Property News e-mail at www.bit.ly/ChiPropertyNews


This article was featured in...









Thursday, 27 May 2021

£671m spent on property in Chichester in 2020


…£671,706,430 to be precise.

That was the huge amount of money spent on property in Chichester in 2020, according to recently released Land Registry data. Considering the onset of the coronavirus pandemic and the amount of time we spent locked indoors, you may be surprised to hear that figure is actually up on 2019! That is some turnaround, especially when the trajectory for the previous two years was on a downward trend. 

This increase came solely from a rise in property prices, as the number of transactions fell. Do you remember when people were pulling out of purchases early on in the pandemic, as the media suggested house prices were set to crash? Well, those people missed out, as property prices in Chichester ended 2020 up by 7%, with the average price paid throughout the year sitting at a new record high (£395,964, which was an increase of 5% on the 2019 average).


One year ago, whilst still in lockdown, I made the fairly sure statement that as I analysed the figures this year, the number of transactions would be down. Whilst that is correct, I’m amazed to see the figure is only down 2% compared to the 1,737 properties sold in 2019 (1,697 properties were sold in Chichester in 2020). That does, however, continue the downward trend for property transactions in Chichester, which now stretches for six years (since 2014, when 2,376 properties changed hands).

Bearing in mind an average of 2,525 properties were sold in Chichester each year between 2000-2007, it is evident that the fallout from the credit crunch is still rumbling on. Considering the number of new homes built in Chichester since then too, it is clear that we are far below the number of transactions you would expect from a healthy property market in Chichester.

Today there are 757 properties on the market in Chichester, with 367 showing as sold (subject to contract). This time last year there were 630 properties on the market, with 195 having been sold. This suggests there is plenty of room for more positive figures next year, with the number of transactions increasing for the first time since 2014. Of course, when the stamp duty relief comes to an end later this year, the market could come to a grinding halt instead… 

To keep on top of the latest happenings in Chichester’s property market, sign up to the free weekly Chichester Property News e-mail at www.bit.ly/ChiPropertyNews


This article was featured in...


Thursday, 7 May 2020

£655m spent on property in Chichester in 2019

House, coins, pile, money spent on chichester property…£654,976,753 to be precise.

That was the huge amount of money spent on property in Chichester in 2019, according to recently released Land Registry data. Whilst that sounds like a lot, it’s actually around £100m less than was spent in 2018! That represents a significant drop of 13% and means the trend of declining transaction values has accelerated, having peaked at £758m in 2017.

The fall has come from both sides of the equation too; average property prices and the number of transactions are both down. It has to be said though that prices held up reasonably well, with the average sale price of £377,074 down just 2.2% compared to the record high average set in 2018 (£385,507).

dual axis, bar graph, line graph,
Yet again though, it is the number of properties selling that is really slowing down the market. With 1,737 properties changing hands in 2019, it marked the fifth year in a row whereby sales figures were down. In 2018 there had been 1,954 transactions, meaning last year saw an 11% drop. It’s also some 27% lower than the 2,376 sold in 2014; they year that saw the most properties sold since the credit crunch.

Bearing in mind an average of 2,525 properties were sold in Chichester each year between 2000-2007, it is clearly evident the fallout from the credit crunch is still rumbling on. Considering the number of new homes built in Chichester since then too, it is clear that we are far below the number of properties you would expect a healthy property market in Chichester to have changing hands.

With Covid-19 bringing the world to a halt, it seems pretty obvious that property sales will be down this year too. By how much remains to be seen; the enforced period inside our homes may lead to an increase in movement when things open for business again. The job market will also have an effect upon housing affordability and whether people need to move for work. There could be pent-up demand ready to burst into action when people are able to act….or everyone may just hunker down until the full aftermath and repercussions are understood.

Today there are 630 properties on the market in Chichester, with 195 showing as sold (subject to contract). This time last year there were 516 properties on the market, with 162 having been sold. There may be some hope from those figures then, although bear in mind a backlog will be building in those properties showing as sold, due to surveyors and conveyancers having largely downed tools during the lockdown period.

Last year when I did this same analysis, I suggested prices would start to flatten and the market was constraining in regards to availability and volume. I still think prices could go either way with the resilience, low interest rates and potential for high inflation in the mix, but it seems pretty clear to me that volume will be down yet again when the data is released in 12 months’ time in respect to 2020.

To keep on top of the latest happenings in Chichester’s property market, sign up to the free weekly Chichester Property News e-mail at www.bit.ly/ChiPropertyNews


This article was featured in...





If you are looking for an agent that is well establishedprofessional and communicative in Chichester, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property.

E-mail me on clive@crjlettings.co.uk or call 01243 624 599.

Don't forget to visit the links below to view my previous buy-to-let deals and Chichester Property News articles:

c/o CRJ Lettings, 30B Southgate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 1DP



Chichester rental valuation