In the run up to today’s
election, I’ve been reading various sources about how house price growth has varied
during each of the former Prime Minister’s terms.
It won’t surprise
many of you that Tony Blair resided over the biggest ‘boom’ in house prices of
any British Prime Minister since data began in 1955. Under his premiership from
1997 to 2007, average U.K property prices increased 211.3%.
At 21.1% per annum
this, however, wasn’t the greatest annualised increase. That accolade is held
by Conservative Prime Minister Edward Heath, who saw property prices increase
32.8% a year (totalling 123%) during his time in office from 1970 to 1974.
Another fact unlikely
to shock you is that Gordon Brown is the only Prime Minister to have seen house
prices decrease during their time in the hot seat. During his premiership
between 2007 and 2010 house prices dropped by 7.2% (I was actually surprised it
wasn’t worse than this, remembering the headlines from the ‘credit crunch’).
Since then, the
coalition government has overseen an average increase in house prices of 11.8%
nationally.
One report, however,
demonstrated how drastically property prices in London have outperformed in
this time. When David Cameron came to power in 2010, his new home (10 Downing
Street) was worth £4,574,831. It has since leapt 38% in value, now being worth
£6,312,292, according to Zoopla.
One generally
accepted reason for the U.K’s continual rise in house prices is that we aren’t
building enough new homes. Research from Knight Frank showed how housebuilding
has been on a continual downtrend ever since the Seventies. This has culminated
in David Cameron overseeing the lowest number of new houses built per year of
any Prime Minister’s term.
With 80% of people
thinking there is a “housing crisis” in the country, the urgent need for more
housebuilding has become a political hot potato of this election, with housing
becoming a core focus of all the parties’ manifestos.
History suggests,
however, that there’s actually little to choose between house price growth
depending on which party is in power. My calculations suggest the prolonged increases
from Tony Blair’s time in power has given a slight edge to Labour, with an average
increase of 13.5% for each of the 24 years they’ve been in power, compared to an
average increase of 10.8% for each of the Conservative party’s 36 years.
If you’d like to keep
up-to-date with how the election result could affect Chichester’s property
market, you can sign up for my weekly ‘Chichester Property News’ via the CRJ
Lettings website.
(This article was featured in the Chichester Observer's property section on 7th May 2015)
Clive Janes, CRJ Lettings Chichester, www.crjlettings.co.uk
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